Despite gloomy forecasts, the U.S. economy added 147,000 jobs in June—outpacing expectations and marking another sign that things may be turning around. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, and full-time job gains led the charge.
Key Facts:
- The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, beating the 106,000 estimate and May’s revised total of 144,000.
- Unemployment dropped from 4.2% to 4.1%, despite predictions of a rise to 4.3%.
- Full-time jobs increased by 282,000 while part-time roles fell by 367,000.
- Native-born employment surged by 830,000, hitting a record 132.65 million; foreign-born employment dropped by 348,000.
- Average hourly earnings rose just 0.2% month-over-month, easing inflation concerns.
The Rest of The Story:
June’s blowout jobs report sharply contrasted with ADP’s earlier gloomy projection of a 33,000 job loss.
Instead, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 147,000 new jobs, outstripping both the median forecast and May’s upwardly revised figure.
This unexpected strength extended beyond the headline.
Unemployment dipped to 4.1% while hourly wage growth slowed—offering some relief to inflation-wary policymakers.
State and local government education roles led the way, along with gains in health care and social assistance.
Meanwhile, federal government jobs declined again.
In a sharp reversal from earlier trends, full-time employment rose while part-time positions fell.
Perhaps most importantly, native-born jobholders surged to record levels while foreign-born employment dropped to a yearly low.
The jobs report again shattered expectations, with 147,000 new jobs added in June! @POTUS’ America First policies continue to unleash historic growth and prosperity for our workers 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/VYDpginpfZ
— U.S. Department of Labor (@USDOL) July 3, 2025
Commentary:
This report is a clear indicator that America’s economy is moving in the right direction—early proof that President Trump’s second-term policies may be yielding results.
The private sector’s strength, led by full-time job growth and wage stability, contrasts sharply with the doom-and-gloom predictions pushed by ADP and echoed by media outlets that seemed all too eager to forecast recession.
Critically, job gains occurred in meaningful sectors—healthcare, education, and social services—while federal job numbers continued their decline.
Shrinking the federal workforce while bolstering private and state employment is exactly the kind of restructuring that many voters hoped for.
The growth in native-born employment is another sign of prioritizing American workers, a cornerstone promise of the Trump economic agenda.
This isn’t just a statistical fluke—it’s a directional shift that benefits the long-term labor market.
The drop in part-time jobs, often used to inflate weak reports under previous administrations, further confirms this is a genuine expansion.
Employers are leaning into full-time hires, a strong vote of confidence in the future.
Even revisions from prior months are now being revised upward, a refreshing change from the downward adjustments seen so often during the last administration.
The Bottom Line:
June’s jobs report shocked Wall Street and defied political forecasts of stagnation.
Trump’s pro-growth policies appear to be bearing fruit with more Americans working full-time and wages stabilizing.
It’s still early, but the signs point to a labor market that’s regaining strength and helping fuel a broader economic revival.
If this trend continues, the outlook for 2025 and beyond could be far brighter than many expected.
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