A new left-wing poll shows AOC leading Chuck Schumer by nearly 20 points in a hypothetical 2028 Senate primary. While Schumer has filed for reelection, this survey exposes deep fractures inside the Democratic Party—and raises serious questions about its future direction.
Key Facts: AOC Schumer Senate Poll Signals Internal Democrat Divide
- AOC leads Schumer 55% to 36% among likely 2028 Democratic primary voters, according to Data for Progress.
- Data for Progress is a progressive-aligned firm known for promoting primary challenges against party leadership.
- Schumer’s support fell after he backed a GOP funding bill in an effort to avoid a government shutdown.
- Schumer has officially filed for reelection; AOC has not confirmed whether she will run.
- Liberal groups continue pressuring Schumer to take a harder line against Donald Trump.
The Rest of the Story: Inside the AOC Schumer Senate Poll Numbers
The 2028 Senate race in New York could turn into a political earthquake if Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez challenges Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer.
According to a new poll by the left-leaning group Data for Progress, AOC holds a commanding 19-point lead over Schumer among likely Democratic primary voters.
The poll reflects frustration from the party’s far-left flank, especially after Schumer joined Republicans to pass a spending bill last month.
Schumer says he did so to avoid a government shutdown, arguing that the chaos would have played into Trump’s hands.
But that rationale hasn’t satisfied activists demanding a harder line.
Despite liberal grumbling, Schumer hasn’t lost any backing from Senate Democrats, and his leadership position appears safe for now.
Still, political analyst Mark Halperin believes a full-scale challenge from AOC would be hard for Schumer to withstand, especially given her grassroots support and the difficulty of attacking her without backfiring.
AOC is ahead of Chuck Schumer by 19 points for the 2028 New York primary in Schumer’s reelection bid for the US Senate.
The low IQ bartender, who curses at fellow New Yorkers, is ahead of Schumer by a lot.
This shows you how the Democrat Party is in complete chaos. pic.twitter.com/5ieAWwfYVB
— Paul A. Szypula 🇺🇸 (@Bubblebathgirl) April 4, 2025
Commentary: AOC vs Schumer—One Disaster Away from Another
Let’s not sugarcoat this—Chuck Schumer is a political chameleon who shifts with the winds of power.
His recent move to back a Republican spending bill is just another example of how he plays both sides to protect his position, not to lead with principle.
But here’s the reality: as bad as Schumer is, replacing him with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would be a complete disaster.
AOC doesn’t govern—she performs.
Her appeal rests on social media stunts and mobilizing low-information voters who confuse energy for competence.
If the voters of New York are foolish enough to hand her the reins, they’ll get exactly what they deserve: radical ideas, zero practical results, and a Senate seat turned into a TikTok feed.
AOC has built a brand, not a legislative record.
Elevating her would be like replacing a malfunctioning car with a clown car.
Schumer’s record is riddled with compromise and calculation, but at least he understands how the Senate works.
AOC’s only real strength is dividing her party even further and dragging it leftward into unelectable territory.
Democrats are already polling at record lows—replacing Schumer with AOC could turn their decline into a freefall.
And let’s be honest: this poll is from Data for Progress, a firm that exists to push the Democratic Party even further left.
Their goal isn’t better policy—it’s more chaos in the name of activism.
The Bottom Line: What the AOC Schumer Senate Poll Means for Democrats
The AOC Schumer Senate poll reveals deep internal fractures within the Democratic Party.
If AOC challenges Schumer in 2028, it could set off a civil war between moderates and radicals.
Schumer might be flawed, but turning over his seat to AOC would make a bad situation much worse—for New York and for the country.
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