A new battle is brewing in New York City ahead of the 2030 census, as Democrat leaders and activists fight to include noncitizens in the official count—despite mounting opposition from Republicans and potential legal changes from the Trump administration.
Key Facts:
- New York leaders are organizing early to ensure noncitizens are included in the 2030 census population count.
- Roughly 1.8 million noncitizens reside in New York State, making up about 9% of its population.
- Federal law uses census data to determine House seats, Electoral College votes, and federal funding distribution.
- New York has lost congressional representation steadily, now down to 26 seats from a peak of 45 in the 1940s.
- Republicans seek to exclude noncitizens from counts that determine House apportionment, citing fairness and legality.
The Rest of The Story:
New York Democrats and allied groups are already laying the groundwork to influence the next U.S. census, nearly five years ahead of the 2030 count.
They’re concerned that a future Trump administration and a Republican-controlled Congress could push to exclude noncitizens from the population figures that determine House representation and federal aid.
Councilwoman Julie Menin, a Democrat and former census director for New York City, gathered with about 150 other officials and activists in April to begin organizing efforts.
“It feels like I’m at a census reunion,” she said.
Advocates argue that removing noncitizens from the count would mean billions lost in funding and fewer seats in Congress.
According to the Migration Policy Institute, New York’s foreign-born population is over 4.5 million, with 1.8 million classified as noncitizens.
Census expert Jeffrey Wice warned, “If you want that hospital, if you want better schools, if you want better streets, it all gets down to representation and funding.”
California would have lost at least 2 congressional seats if it weren’t for illegals
Illegals are counted in the census so the more illegals a state has, the more reps and money it gets
This will never be ok
This is NOT what our Founding Fathers intended. @hertake_podcast pic.twitter.com/Jio1eqBMyk
— Lindy Li (@lindyli) June 20, 2025
Commentary:
This isn’t just about census logistics—it’s about political survival for blue states like New York.
For years, Democrats have championed sanctuary policies and offered generous benefits to illegal immigrants.
Why? Because every additional body counted boosts a state’s population and political clout, regardless of citizenship status.
States like California and New York have bled taxpayers and productive citizens for decades.
Their economic policies have chased out families, businesses, and job creators.
Now, instead of reforming those policies, they’re looking to undocumented migrants to artificially prop up their population numbers.
Let’s be clear: this is a numbers game.
Each congressional seat represents real power in Washington.
If Democrats can’t keep Americans from moving to freer, low-tax states like Florida and Texas, they’ll try to offset those losses by counting noncitizens—many of whom aren’t even eligible to vote or serve in the military.
It’s also why these same Democrats are fanatically opposed to border enforcement and ICE.
Deportations reduce the very numbers they depend on for federal representation and funding.
It’s not compassion—it’s calculation. And the danger is real.
If the 2030 census counts illegal immigrants and noncitizens toward apportionment, it dilutes the voting power of actual citizens in other states.
It shifts political weight unfairly, rewarding states that refuse to enforce immigration laws.
Democrats flooded the country with up to 20 million illegal immigrants during the Biden years, and now they want to make every one of them count—for their benefit, not the country’s.
This isn’t just a policy debate—it’s a constitutional question about who should be represented in Congress.
Rewarding states for harboring noncitizens sends the wrong message to law-abiding Americans and to legal immigrants who followed the rules.
Democrats have shown their hand.
They’ve made it clear that their long game is to reshape America through population manipulation.
It’s time voters make it clear that these tactics won’t go unpunished.
The Bottom Line:
New York leaders are preparing early to ensure noncitizens are counted in the 2030 census—a move with serious political implications.
Democrats are using noncitizen numbers to shore up power in states losing native-born residents.
Excluding noncitizens from census counts would reduce their influence, and they know it.
This battle will determine not just funding but who controls Congress in the years ahead.
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